Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Tom Paris		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.76	1.49
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.18)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
36.4%

Mikhail Kukushkin
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tom Paris's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Tom Paris - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Paris (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 260. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 317.

In recent matches, Paris has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kukushkin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kukushkin might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kukushkin will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Laslo Djere - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Benjamin Hassan - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Tom Paris - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Niels Visker - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Tom Paris - Matt Ponchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Stuart Parker - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris	0:2

Tom Paris - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide