Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Tom Paris		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
44.9%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gueymard Wayenburg: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tom Paris will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 352. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 206.

Paris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Paris - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.68%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.32%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Tom Paris - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Tom Paris - Olle Wallin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Tom Paris - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tom Paris - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Tom Paris - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Valentin Vacherot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLL

Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide