Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PROSTEJOV (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday


	Tomas Machac		Mate Valkusz

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.77	2
	1.71	2.18
	1.8	1.91
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
53.8%

Mate Valkusz
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

Mate Valkusz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mate Valkusz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mate Valkusz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tomas Machac - Mate Valkusz Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valkusz is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Valkusz to win the game is with odds 1.97.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Tomas Machac - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Tomas Machac - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Tomas Machac - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Elias Ymer - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Tomas Machac - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Mate Valkusz
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Vit Kopriva - Mate Valkusz	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Mate Valkusz - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Mate Valkusz - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Mate Valkusz - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
26.05.23	Mate Valkusz - Dragos Nicolae Madaras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

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