Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Tomas Machac		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.85	1.91
	1.9	1.91
	1.94	1.94
	1.93	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.92	1.89	Watch
	2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.65)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
50%

Zhizhen Zhang
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhizhen Zhang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Tomas Machac - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Zhang will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Machac is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zhang is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zhang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Tomas Machac - Roman Safiullin	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	David Goffin - Tomas Machac	2:3 ✺
02.07.24	Andy Murray - Tomas Machac	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
18.06.24	Arthur Fils - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLW?L
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:3 ✺
01.07.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Maxime Janvier	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.08.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Tomas Machac	1:2

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