Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:45	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:45	SportKlub
Croatia	12:45	SportKlub
Germany	12:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	11:45	Sport TV
Serbia	12:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	12:45	SportKlub
Ukraine	13:45	Setanta Sports


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Aslan Karatsev

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Tomas Martin Etcheverry
27.7%

Aslan Karatsev
72.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Recent matches Etcheverry is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Etcheverry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karatsev is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP San Diego
21.09.22	Marcos Giron - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
19.09.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Hugo Grenier	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Pablo Andujar-Alba	Canceled ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Kyle Edmund	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWL??
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Metz
19.09.22	Aslan Karatsev - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.22	Fabio Fognini - Aslan Karatsev	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Aslan Karatsev