Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 La Plata, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Tomas Martinez		Fermin Tenti

	1	2
	3.79	1.21	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.64)	1.63 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martinez
39.5%

Fermin Tenti
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Martinez's form might have worsened.

Fermin Tenti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fermin Tenti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martinez than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Martinez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermin Tenti than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fermin Tenti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 982. Tenti is ranked ATP: 918.

Martinez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tenti has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martinez
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tomas Martinez - Jose Pereira	Pereira J. retired ✺
15.02.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Bruno Kuzuhara - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL
- Fermin Tenti
ITF Tournaments
17.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	Tenti F. retired ✺
13.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Andrew Johnson	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Pierre Delage - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Lachlan Gaskell	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?LWWL

Tomas Martinez - Fermin Tenti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide