Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ithaca, NY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday


	Tomasz Berkieta		Nicolas Arseneault

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Tomasz Berkieta
45.9%

Nicolas Arseneault
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomasz Berkieta's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Arseneault's recent form is better than expected.

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Berkieta is ranked ATP: 645., and Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1162..

Berkieta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Norbert Gombos - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Dominik Kellovsky - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Nicolas Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Eli Stephenson - Nicolas Arseneault	Arseneault N. Retired ✺
14.10.26	Duje Markovina - Nicolas Arseneault	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Jack Anthrop	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Valentin Gonzalez-Galino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar	✺

Tomasz Berkieta - Nicolas Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide