Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Michele Ribecai		Tomasz Berkieta

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.49	2.55
	1.57	2.54
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.52	2.50
	1.47	2.50	Watch
	1.47	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.84)	2.51 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
62.6%

Tomasz Berkieta
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Ribecai's performance.

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomasz Berkieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomasz Berkieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michele Ribecai - Tomasz Berkieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 265. Berkieta is ranked ATP: 558.

Ribecai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Berkieta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michele Ribecai - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Hugo Dellien - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Tomasz Berkieta
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Norbert Gombos - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Dominik Kellovsky - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Iannis Miletich - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Michele Ribecai - Tomasz Berkieta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide