Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Belgrade, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
			Watch
	1.8	1.94
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	1.86 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
50.1%

Marvin Moeller
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommaso Compagnucci's performance.

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marvin Moeller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommaso Compagnucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 468. Moeller is ranked ATP: 512.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
01.06.25	Kristijan Juhas - Tommaso Compagnucci	Juhas K. retired ✺
31.05.25	Damian Wenger - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Nikola Djosic - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Jordi Garcia Mestre - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?WWWL
- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Marvin Moeller - Nick Hardt	Moeller M. retired ✺
02.05.25	Marvin Moeller - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Marvin Moeller - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Ryan Nijboer - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?LWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Matej Dodig	✺
08.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Marvin Moeller	✺

Tommaso Compagnucci - Marvin Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide