Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Ryan Nijboer		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.80	1.41
	2.76	1.39	Watch
	3.50	1.31
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.80	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.19)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
31.7%

Marvin Moeller
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marvin Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ryan Nijboer - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nijboer will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Moeller will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 417., and Moeller is ranked ATP: 239..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Moeller could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Moeller holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Moeller in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nijboer has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Nijboer - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
07.10.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Nico Hipfl	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Nicolas Ifi - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
07.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefano Travaglia - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Ryan Nijboer - Marvin Moeller	0:2
18.04.25	Marvin Moeller - Ryan Nijboer	0:2

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