Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.35
	3.05	1.36
	3.40	1.38
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	3.09	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.95)	1.35 (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
30.3%

Maxim Mrva
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tommaso Compagnucci - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Compagnucci will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mrva will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 370. Mrva is ranked ATP: 287.

Compagnucci is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mrva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mrva is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Jan Sadzik	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches