Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.31	3.15
	1.36	3.23
	1.33	3.04	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	3.1 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
69.9%

Jelle Sels
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommaso Compagnucci's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommaso Compagnucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tommaso Compagnucci - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 398. Sels is ranked ATP: 446.

Compagnucci is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sels's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Compagnucci is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommaso Compagnucci - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.94%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Federico Iannaccone - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Martin Damm - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Jelle Sels - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?LL

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