Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Toufik Sahtali		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	2.7	1.39	Watch
	2.65	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toufik Sahtali
34.4%

Corentin Denolly
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Toufik Sahtali - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sahtali is ranked ATP: 575., and Denolly is ranked ATP: 477..

Sahtali has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Denolly shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Denolly holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Denolly in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sahtali has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Toufik Sahtali - Kael Shalin Shah	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Toufik Sahtali - Chetanna Amadike	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Benjamin Lock - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mayank Sharma - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Patrick Brady - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL
- Corentin Denolly
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Preston Brown - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Caheer Warik - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Corentin Denolly - Manuel Plunger	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Corentin Denolly - Etienne Niyigena	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Corentin Denolly - Arthur Laborde	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.01.24	Corentin Denolly - Toufik Sahtali	2:0

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