Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 14, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Toufik Sahtali		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.81	1.45
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.07)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toufik Sahtali
35.5%

Sebastian Gima
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toufik Sahtali's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Gima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Gima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toufik Sahtali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toufik Sahtali - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sahtali is ranked ATP: 679. Gima is ranked ATP: 577.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gima will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Toufik Sahtali - Nicolas Tepmahc	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Toufik Sahtali - Hiromasa Koyama	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Toufik Sahtali - Matic Dimic	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Tobiasz Sopolinski - Toufik Sahtali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Sebastian Gima
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Leonardo Rossi - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Valentin Lapalu - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Fumin Jiang - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Sebastian Gima - Anton Shepp	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Sebastian Gima - Luca Wiedenmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

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