Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Trey Hilderbrand		Adhithya Ganesan

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.44	1.54
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trey Hilderbrand
42.9%

Adhithya Ganesan
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trey Hilderbrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trey Hilderbrand's form might have worsened.

Adhithya Ganesan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adhithya Ganesan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trey Hilderbrand than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trey Hilderbrand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adhithya Ganesan than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adhithya Ganesan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hilderbrand is ranked ATP: 682. Ganesan is ranked ATP: 557.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Adhithya Ganesan - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trey Hilderbrand
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Matt Kuhar	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Boris Kozlov	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Yi Zhou - Trey Hilderbrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Adhithya Ganesan
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Leo Vithoontien	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Rinky Hijikata - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Marc Van Der Merwe	Van Der Merwe M. walkover ✺
15.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Marc Van Der Merwe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LL?WL

Trey Hilderbrand - Adhithya Ganesan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide