Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Trey Hilderbrand		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.88
	1.84	1.91
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.17)	1.91 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trey Hilderbrand
51.3%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trey Hilderbrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trey Hilderbrand's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trey Hilderbrand than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trey Hilderbrand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trey Hilderbrand - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hilderbrand is ranked ATP: 627. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 595.

Recent matches Hilderbrand is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hernandez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hilderbrand could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trey Hilderbrand
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Diego Bustamante	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Blaise Bicknell - Trey Hilderbrand	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jagger Leach - Trey Hilderbrand	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	James Kent Trotter - Trey Hilderbrand	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Garrett Johns - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Gage Brymer - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tyler Stice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

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