Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Tristan Boyer		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.64
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
63.6%

Miguel Damas
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Boyer's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Boyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tristan Boyer - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boyer will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Damas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boyer is ranked ATP: 257. Damas is ranked ATP: 260.

Boyer is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Damas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boyer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boyer might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Boyer will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Boyer - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. Retired ✺
13.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Tristan Boyer - Aziz Dougaz	Dougaz A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WW?W?
- Miguel Damas
ATP Geneva
16.05.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW

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