Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Tristan Lamasine		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.04
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Lamasine
51.1%

Manuel Guinard
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Lamasine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Lamasine than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Tristan Lamasine - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: Tristan Lamasine will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lamasine is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lamasine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Lamasine
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Tristan Lamasine - Jakob Schnaitter	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Tristan Lamasine - John Sperle	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Tristan Lamasine - Adrien Gobat	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Tristan Lamasine - Antoine Hoang	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Jack Draper - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Manuel Guinard - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Luca Nardi - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Elias Ymer - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. retired ✺
29.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
14.05.22	Tristan Lamasine - Manuel Guinard	0:2
ATP Challenger
18.06.21	Manuel Guinard - Tristan Lamasine	2:1

Tristan Lamasine - Manuel Guinard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide