Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: RENNES (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 September 2023, Monday


	Luca Nardi		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.87
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.65)	2.68 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
64.9%

Manuel Guinard
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manuel Guinard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manuel Guinard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Luca Nardi - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nardi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Luca Nardi - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Luca Nardi - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Joao Sousa - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Luca Nardi - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Elias Ymer - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. retired ✺
29.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Nino Serdarusic - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. retired ✺
12.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LW?L

Luca Nardi - Manuel Guinard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide