Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rochester, NY, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rochester 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tristan McCormick		Noah Johnston

	1	2
	1.80	1.87
	1.81	1.89
	1.85	1.97
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.82	1.95
	1.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
51%

Noah Johnston
49%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Noah Johnston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tristan McCormick - Noah Johnston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 599. Johnston is ranked ATP: 1313.

Johnston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Johnston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan McCormick - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Tristan McCormick - Pedro Sakamoto	Sakamoto P. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Tristan McCormick - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Tristan McCormick - Alexis Gurmendi	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Tristan McCormick - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 L?LWW
- Noah Johnston
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Noah Johnston - Noah Zamora	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Brumm - Noah Johnston	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Hugo Hashimoto - Noah Johnston	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Noah Johnston - Noah Zamora	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Ozan Baris - Noah Johnston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Tristan McCormick - Noah Johnston

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick - Noah Johnston Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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