Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Tristan McCormick		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.49	Watch
	2.66	1.5
	3.28	1.30	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.47)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
35.2%

Robert Strombachs
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-5%)

Tristan McCormick - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCormick (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 504. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 429.

In recent matches, McCormick has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Strombachs has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McCormick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Strombachs will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan McCormick - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Joshua Sheehy	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.26	Tristan McCormick - Adam Lynch	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Tristan McCormick - Alexander Kotzen	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Tristan McCormick - Daniil Kakhniuk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Robert Strombachs
Davis Cup World Group II
07.02.26	Roberto Cid Subervi - Robert Strombachs	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Nick Hardt - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
12.01.26	Robert Strombachs - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Robert Strombachs - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?L?LW

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