Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.56
	1.48	2.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.83)	2.57 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
63.5%

Ryan Peniston
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryan Peniston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Peniston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Peniston will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peniston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 122. Peniston is ranked ATP: 311.

Recent matches Schoolkate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peniston is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Schoolkate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Schoolkate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
26.04.25	Jason Kubler - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Gerard Campana Lee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Ryan Peniston - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ryan Peniston - Zhan Zheng	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.25	Faris Zakaryia - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:0

Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide