Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gwangju 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tristan Schoolkate		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.76	2.02	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
54.2%

Ilia Simakin
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tristan Schoolkate - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilia Simakin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 122. Simakin is ranked ATP: 271.

Recent matches Schoolkate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Schoolkate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Gerard Campana Lee	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Adam Walton - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Viktor Durasovic - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Jie Cui	✺

Tristan Schoolkate - Ilia Simakin