Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CALI (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.47
	2.69	1.49
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.08)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
35.1%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thai-Son Kwiatkowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tristan Schoolkate - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: Thai-Son Kwiatkowski will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kwiatkowski is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kwiatkowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kwiatkowski will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Gustavo Heide - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tristan Schoolkate	Canceled ✺
04.06.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Woohyuk Sim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LLW
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Challenger
08.06.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Daniel Masur - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
02.06.23	Antoine Escoffier - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
29.05.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Tristan Schoolkate - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide