Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 14 (Serbia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 14 (Serbia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Tristan Stringer		Lucio Carnevalle

	1	2
	2.23	1.56
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)	1.57 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Stringer
41.1%

Lucio Carnevalle
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Stringer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Stringer's performance.

Lucio Carnevalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucio Carnevalle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Stringer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Stringer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucio Carnevalle than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucio Carnevalle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Stringer is ranked ATP: 1929. Carnevalle is ranked ATP: 1230.

Stringer is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carnevalle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stringer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carnevalle will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Stringer
ITF Tournaments
31.07.24	Tristan Stringer - Ezequiel Monferrer	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Tristan Stringer - Kane Bonsach Ganley	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Andrej Nedic - Tristan Stringer	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	Tristan Stringer - Dominik Kellovsky	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Tristan Stringer - Nikola Lulic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Lucio Carnevalle
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.07.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Viktor Jovic	0:2 ✺
09.07.24	Oleg Prihodko - Lucio Carnevalle	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Lucio Carnevalle - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Tristan Stringer - Lucio Carnevalle

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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