Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vancouver - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Tyler Zink		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.20
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.59
	1.29	3.26	Watch
	1.28	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.27	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.37 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
72.4%

Karl Poling
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tyler Zink - Karl Poling Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zink will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Poling will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zink (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 343. Poling is ranked ATP: 491.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zink may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Karl Poling - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Tyler Zink - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Tyler Zink - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Adhithya Ganesan - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Kokoro Isomura - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Noah Zamora - Karl Poling	Canceled ✺
13.07.26	Karl Poling - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Karl Poling - Matt Kuhar	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Karl Poling - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 W?LWL

Tyler Zink - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide