Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	HBO Max


	Ugo Blanchet		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.48	2.54
	1.47	2.6
	1.5	2.63
	1.50	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.39)	2.57 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
63.4%

Dmitry Popko
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Blanchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ugo Blanchet - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Popko will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Popko (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Popko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 184. Popko is ranked ATP: 239.

Blanchet is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Popko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blanchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Blanchet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Borna Gojo - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Federico Cina - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Jan Choinski - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Dmitry Popko - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Dmitry Popko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL

Ugo Blanchet - Dmitry Popko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide