Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.68
	2.42	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
43.5%

Yosuke Watanuki
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Blanchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ugo Blanchet - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yosuke Watanuki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 162. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 175.

Recent performances by Blanchet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Watanuki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blanchet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Watanuki will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Blanchet - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Yosuke Watanuki - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
17.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWW?L
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Jurij Rodionov	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WW?WL

Ugo Blanchet - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide