Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.86)	2.33 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
60%

Zdenek Kolar
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugo Blanchet's performance.

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zdenek Kolar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ugo Blanchet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zdenek Kolar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	0%	6.9%

Ugo Blanchet - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Blanchet will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanchet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kolar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kolar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Maxime Janvier - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Sumit Nagal - Ugo Blanchet	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWW?
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Zdenek Kolar - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
25.09.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Sebastian Sorger - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Zdenek Kolar - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Ugo Blanchet - Zdenek Kolar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide