The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zdenek Kolar 53.4%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zdenek Kolar's form might have worsened.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gilles Arnaud Bailly's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
0%
7.7%
Zdenek Kolar - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions
Users Predictions:
Zdenek Kolar will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Kolar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bailly in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Kolar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Kolar will have a poor advantage in this game.
Our prediction for today's Bailly to win the game is with odds 2.38.