Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Valentin Royer		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.5
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.34	1.66
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
39.1%

Bu Yunchaokete
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bu Yunchaokete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bu Yunchaokete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Valentin Royer - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 40%). Yunchaokete (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Royer (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 3 - 50%). Yunchaokete (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 104. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 76.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yunchaokete might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Royer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Valentin Royer - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Valentin Royer - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Valentin Royer - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Valentin Royer	0:2

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