Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE 3 (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Valentin Royer		Joao Sousa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2	1.78
	2.18	1.71
	2	1.73
	2.23	1.6	Watch
	2.12	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
44.5%

Joao Sousa
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Valentin Royer - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royer: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Royer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Sousa to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Michael Vrbensky - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
26.07.23	Vit Kopriva - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
24.07.23	Valentin Royer - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Valentin Royer - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.23	Valentin Royer - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
06.08.23	Joao Sousa - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jules Marie - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
03.08.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
31.07.23	Joao Sousa - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW

Valentin Royer - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide