Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis (Tunisia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Lakhdhar Y. (Tun)


	Valentin Vacherot		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.54)	2.08 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
54.8%

Timofey Skatov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Valentin Vacherot - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Skatov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vacherot is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skatov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Skatov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vacherot will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Richard Gasquet - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Gijs Brouwer - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Timofey Skatov - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
13.05.24	Timofey Skatov - Max Houkes	Houkes M. retired ✺
12.05.24	Timofey Skatov - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Timofey Skatov - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WW?WL

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