Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence (France), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Valentin Vacherot		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	3.12	1.41
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.02	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.45)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
30.2%

Alejandro Tabilo
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Vacherot's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tabilo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tabilo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vacherot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tabilo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Richard Gasquet - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Gabriel Debru - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Facundo Bagnis	Tabilo A. retired ✺
03.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLW

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