Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Leiria, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Valentina Ivanov		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.72	1.4
	2.76	1.46
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.7	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.47)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentina Ivanov
34.3%

Matilde Jorge
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentina Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentina Ivanov's performance.

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matilde Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentina Ivanov than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentina Ivanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valentina Ivanov - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivanov is ranked WTA: 484. Jorge is ranked WTA: 300.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Jorge is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentina Ivanov
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Martha Matoula - Valentina Ivanov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Luna Vujovic - Valentina Ivanov	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Valentina Ivanov - Johanne Christine Svendsen	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Luna Vujovic - Valentina Ivanov	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Valentina Ivanov - Daria Yesypchuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Matilde Jorge - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Sofia Costoulas - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Isis Louise Van den Broek - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Maria Berlanga Bandera - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Mina Hodzic - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

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