Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ibague, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Valentina Mediorreal Arias		Maria Camila Torres Murcia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.03
	1.69	2.06
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.34)	2.06 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentina Mediorreal Arias
55.1%

Maria Camila Torres Murcia
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentina Mediorreal Arias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentina Mediorreal Arias's form might have worsened.

Maria Camila Torres Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Torres Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Mediorreal Arias than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentina Mediorreal Arias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Torres Murcia than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Camila Torres Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Maria Camila Torres Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mediorreal Arias is ranked WTA: 797. Torres Murcia is ranked WTA: 817.

Mediorreal Arias has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torres Murcia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Torres Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mediorreal Arias won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentina Mediorreal Arias
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Marjorie Souza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Candela Vazquez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Maria Camila Torres Murcia
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Jenna Dean - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Susana Souhrada - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	Souhrada S. retired ✺
03.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Carolina Bohrer Martins - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.04.24	Maria Camila Torres Murcia - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2

Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Maria Camila Torres Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide