Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordoba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	1.76	1.95
	1.86	2.04
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
52.1%

Valerio Aboian
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Aboian will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 367. Aboian is ranked ATP: 494.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Juan Estevez - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:0
ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:1
08.12.23	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	1:2
29.11.23	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	1:2
14.11.23	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	0:2
22.02.23	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	0:2

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