Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Valerio Aboian		Federico Iannaccone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.85
	2.08	1.81
	1.93	1.77	Watch
	1.87	1.96
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.65)	1.83 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
48.8%

Federico Iannaccone
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valerio Aboian's performance.

Federico Iannaccone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Iannaccone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valerio Aboian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Iannaccone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iannaccone will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 431. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 643.

Aboian has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iannaccone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aboian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.49%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Marko Topo - Valerio Aboian	Topo M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Karlo Kajin - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Vid Mohar - Valerio Aboian	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 W?LWW
- Federico Iannaccone
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Federico Iannaccone - Peter Fajta	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Federico Iannaccone - Caheer Warik	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Federico Iannaccone - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide