Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 4 September 2026, Friday
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Valerio Aboian |
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Federico Iannaccone |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.80 |
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1.85 |
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2.08 |
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1.81 |
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 |
1.93 |
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1.77 |
Watch |
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1.87 |
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1.96 |
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1.92 |
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1.77 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.65) |
|
1.83 ↑
(1.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Valerio Aboian
48.8% | Federico Iannaccone
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valerio Aboian's performance.Federico Iannaccone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Iannaccone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valerio Aboian that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Iannaccone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iannaccone will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Aboian is ranked ATP: 431. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 643.Aboian has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Iannaccone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Aboian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win. The players have not played against each other recently.
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Last Results with these Odds
Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.49%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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