Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Valerio Aboian		Joao Eduardo Schiessl

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.63
	2.27	1.69
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
44.2%

Joao Eduardo Schiessl
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valerio Aboian's form might have worsened.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Eduardo Schiessl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Eduardo Schiessl than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Eduardo Schiessl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Schiessl will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 464. Schiessl is ranked ATP: 467.

Recent performances by Aboian have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schiessl is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aboian won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Bruno Fernandez - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Agustin Libre - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LWWL
- Joao Eduardo Schiessl
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Johannes Ingildsen	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Joao Pedro Didoni Bonini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1
ITF Tournaments
09.11.21	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Valerio Aboian	0:2

Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide