Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 La Plata, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Fermin Tenti		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	4.34	1.22
	2.88	1.34	Watch
	4.33	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.02)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermin Tenti
24.5%

Valerio Aboian
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermin Tenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermin Tenti's form might have worsened.

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valerio Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermin Tenti than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermin Tenti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tenti is ranked ATP: 918. Aboian is ranked ATP: 462.

Tenti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aboian has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tenti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aboian is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tenti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fermin Tenti
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Tomas Martinez - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	Tenti F. retired ✺
13.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Andrew Johnson	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Pierre Delage - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Fermin Tenti - Lachlan Gaskell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 W?LWW
- Valerio Aboian
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Agustin Libre - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Gonzalo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.23	Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian	1:2
17.11.23	Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian	0:2

Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide