The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varvara Gracheva 53.8%
Clervie Ngounoue 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.
Clervie Ngounoue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Clervie Ngounoue's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clervie Ngounoue than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clervie Ngounoue, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Varvara Gracheva - Clervie Ngounoue Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ngounoue will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.