Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Varvara Gracheva		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.78	2.04
	1.69	2.14
	1.79	2.13
	1.72	2.1
	1.77	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.43)	2.12 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
55.1%

Lucia Bronzetti
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Bronzetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.5%	0%	80.5%

Varvara Gracheva - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 33 - 80.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 68.4% – 92.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gracheva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bronzetti is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gracheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Melbourne Summer Set 2
04.01.22	Varvara Gracheva - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.12.21	Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
17.12.21	Greetje Minnen - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
16.12.21	Cristina Bucsa - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
14.12.21	Tamara Korpatsch - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Australian Open
13.01.22	Nao Hibino - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
11.01.22	Valeria Savinykh - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
10.01.22	Amandine Hesse - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
03.01.22	Lucia Bronzetti - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
02.01.22	Kateryna Volodko - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Varvara Gracheva - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide