Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Ana Bogdan		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.72	1.5
			Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.76	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (1.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ana Bogdan
34.4%

Varvara Gracheva
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ana Bogdan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ana Bogdan's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ana Bogdan than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ana Bogdan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bogdan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gracheva will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogdan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Bogdan (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogdan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bogdan is ranked WTA: 247. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 92.

Bogdan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gracheva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bogdan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gracheva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bogdan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ana Bogdan
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Anastasia Zakharova - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Ana Bogdan - Ekaterina Makarova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Veronika Erjavec - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Maja Chwalinska - Ana Bogdan	Bogdan A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?
- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Oksana Selekhmeteva	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Varvara Gracheva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.25	Alexandra Eala - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva	Bogdan A. retired
WTA St Petersburg
07.02.22	Varvara Gracheva - Ana Bogdan	2:0
ATP Challenger
18.12.21	Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva	2:1
WTA Chicago
24.08.21	Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva	Bogdan A. retired

Ana Bogdan - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide