Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Marina Stakusic		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3.14
	1.34	3.06	Watch
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.42	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	2.9 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Stakusic
67.9%

Varvara Lepchenko
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Stakusic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marina Stakusic's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marina Stakusic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Marina Stakusic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marina Stakusic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stakusic is ranked WTA: 151. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 157.

Stakusic has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lepchenko is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stakusic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stakusic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stakusic will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stakusic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Stakusic
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Mary Lewis	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Caroline Dolehide - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Lia Karatancheva - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Christasha McNeil - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Panna Udvardy - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Despina Papamichail - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Ana Candiotto - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2

Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide