Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Louisa Chirico

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.76	2.1
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.68	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
55.8%

Louisa Chirico
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Louisa Chirico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Varvara Lepchenko - Louisa Chirico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 157. Chirico is ranked WTA: 167.

Lepchenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chirico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lepchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Christasha McNeil - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Panna Udvardy - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Despina Papamichail - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Ana Candiotto - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Katrina Scott - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Louisa Chirico
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Louisa Chirico - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Fiona Crawley	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Olivia Lincer	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Louisa Chirico - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Mary Stoiana - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.11.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Louisa Chirico	Chirico L. retired

Varvara Lepchenko - Louisa Chirico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide