Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.13	1.38
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (1.89)	1.4 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
32.8%

Petra Marcinko
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petra Marcinko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lepchenko will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marcinko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 125. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 169.

Recent performances by Lepchenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marcinko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcinko is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Marcinko will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Georgia Pedone	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Mayar Sherif - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Berfu Cengiz - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Petra Marcinko
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Petra Marcinko - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Francesca Jones - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Petra Marcinko - Lola Radivojevic	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko	Canceled

Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide