Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	09:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	SportKlub
Croatia	00:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	00:00	O2 TV Tenis
Finland	01:00	CMore, CMore Sport
France	00:00	beIN Sports
Greece	01:00	Nova Sports
Portugal	23:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	01:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	00:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	00:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	01:00	Setanta Sports


	Victoria Azarenka		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.7	1.47
	2.6	1.45
	2.79	1.5
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.88	1.53	Watch
	2.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Azarenka
35.5%

Jessica Pegula
64.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Azarenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria Azarenka's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Azarenka than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria Azarenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	0%	67.6%

Victoria Azarenka - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Azarenka will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Azarenka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pegula is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pegula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pegula will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Azarenka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Azarenka
WTA Guadalajara 2
21.10.22	Victoria Azarenka - Cori Gauff	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Victoria Azarenka - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Paula Badosa - Victoria Azarenka	Badosa P. retired ✺
17.10.22	Victoria Azarenka - Shuai Zhang	Canceled ✺
WTA Ostrava
03.10.22	Victoria Azarenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW??L
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Guadalajara 2
21.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
20.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
WTA San Diego
15.10.22	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
14.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
13.10.21	Victoria Azarenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Berlin
18.06.21	Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka	1:2
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka	Pegula J. walkover
WTA Australian Open
08.02.21	Victoria Azarenka - Jessica Pegula	0:2

Victoria Azarenka - Jessica Pegula