Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Elise Mertens		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.2	1.67
	2.24	1.66
	2.2	1.74
	2.12	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.37)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
43.7%

Paula Badosa
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Badosa will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 31. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.

Recent matches Mertens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Dubai
16.02.25	Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Elise Mertens - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
WTA Singapore
02.02.25	Ann Li - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLW?W
- Paula Badosa
WTA Dubai
16.02.25	Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Paula Badosa - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Paula Badosa - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
10.02.25	Paula Badosa - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
05.02.25	Linda Noskova - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL?WL

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