Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 9 (Serbia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday


	Viktor Jovic		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.18	1.58
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.26	1.59	Watch
	2.18	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)	1.59 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktor Jovic
42.1%

Andrey Chepelev
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktor Jovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktor Jovic's form might have worsened.

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Chepelev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktor Jovic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktor Jovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Chepelev to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jovic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktor Jovic
ITF Tournaments
04.07.24	Elliot Benchetrit - Viktor Jovic	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Viktor Jovic - Milos Mikovic	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Viktor Jovic - Vuk Radjenovic	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Viktor Jovic - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Viktor Jovic - Pijus Vaitiekunas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
04.07.24	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Carles Hernandez - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Andrey Chepelev - Saveliy Ivanov	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Noah Perfetti - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Viktor Jovic	2:1

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