Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Dominic Stephan Stricker

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	4.29	1.22
	3.85	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.23	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.25)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
24.6%

Dominic Stephan Stricker
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Stephan Stricker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vilius Gaubas - Dominic Stephan Stricker Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Stricker will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 181. Stricker is ranked ATP: 289.

The competitors look crappy now.

Stricker could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stricker is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Vilius Gaubas	Gaubas V. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLW?
- Dominic Stephan Stricker
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	James Duckworth - Dominic Stephan Stricker	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
03.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Flavio Cobolli - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LLLL

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